2024 - Articles

Article: Earl Anthony Wayne's 5 Questions for Sheinbaum's 1st 100 Days - The Mexico Brief — The Mexico Brief - Mexican news and analysis in English. Mexican politics, current events, and culture.

Welcome to the second in our recurring series looking at what to expect from Claudia Sheinbaum’s incoming administration. This time, we caught up with Washington’s former Ambassador to Mexico, Earl Anthony Wayne, who served under President Obama from 2011 - 2015. Here, he lays out the five key things policymakers in Washington will be watching as President-elect Sheinbaum takes office.




















Constitutional reforms.Will Mexico’s constitutional reforms cause damage to...

Report: USMCA at Four: Measuring Success, Addressing China, and Working Towards the 2026 Review

Since coming into force on July 1, 2020, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) has undergone a trial by fire and delivered remarkable results. Despite the COVID-19 crisis, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and rising tensions with China, goods and services trade within North America has soared by 50% and investment in new ventures has grown by 136%. Representing a third of the world’s Gross Domestic Product, USMCA's stable and enforceable framework has successfully addressed multiple tra...

Article: Expert Take: How Will the Sheinbaum Presidency Impact Mexico?

On June 2nd, Claudia Sheinbaum, the Sigamos Haciendo Historia candidate, was elected president, making history as the first female to hold Mexico's highest elected office. While Sheinbaum's campaign platform and initial comments following her recent election closely reflected the current policy priorities of her predecessor and founder of the political party, Morena, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, much is to be determined about how a Sheinbaum presidency will impact Mexico. Eight experts share their views -- My essay is on good prospects for US-Mexico cooperation.

Article/interview: Three Questions on Mexico's Election Results

Mexico made history on June 2, 2024, when it elected its first female president, Claudia Sheinbaum. These elections were the largest in Mexico’s history, with representatives for more than 20,000 public office positions at the congressional and local levels chosen, according to the AP. Election results are likely to be finalized later this week, but Sheinbaum was declared the winner of the presidential election based on a very high margin of victory in preliminary results reported late on June 2

Article: A former US ambassador sees high stakes in Mexico's elections

On June 2, Mexicans will choose a new president, a new congress and many thousands of state and local officials in Mexico’s largest elections ever.

At present, polls show a large advantage to Claudia Sheinbaum, the presidential candidate supported by incumbent President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), over her principal rival, Xóchitl Gálvez, who heads the opposition coalition ticket in Mexico’s presidential elections.

Beyond the presidential race, the outcomes in congressional and state e

Article: Important Things Happening in Mexico Deserve Close US Attention

On June 2, Mexicans will choose a new president, a new congress, and many thousands of state and local officials in Mexico’s largest election ever.

At present, polls show a large advantage to Claudia Sheinbaum, the presidential candidate supported by incumbent President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), over her principle rival, Xochitl Galvez, who heads the opposition coalition ticket.

Beyond the presidential race, the outcomes in congressional and state elections will have big implications ...

New Insights from the Public Diplomacy Laboratory, Public Diplomacy Council of America

by Joe B. Johnson

When I was a college senior, I would have jumped at the chance to advise the Department of State on its public communication. Now, Anthony Wayne, a PDCA member and Diplomat in Residence at American University’s School of International Service, has enabled some of his students to do just that as part of State’s Diplomacy Lab.

Diplomacy Lab, launched by State in 2013, is a public-private partnership with more than sixty U.S. colleges and universities to sponsor research around various Department-identified topics. It is part of the Office of Global Partnerships, where State engages with outside entities in many ways.

Influencers and public diplomacy …

When Amb. Wayne put me in touch with his six seniors at SIS as one source for their project, I was skeptical. Their topic focused on the use of "Influencers" as part of U.S. public diplomacy. Their client was the Global Public Affairs Bureau (GPA). This area, which has not been spelled out in Department manuals, is much discussed by practitioners who seek to project policy messages through independent voices. I asked myself:

• What are the ethical guardrails that separate legitimate local partnerships from deceptive “sock puppetry"?
• Is this topic too difficult for college seniors with limited practical experience?

The team interviewed a number of sources including PDCA members and some of my former colleagues on the Foreign Service Institute’s training staff. More importantly, they conducted extensive desk research, which shows in their comprehensive report.

The report begins with a general survey of PD, citing 63 sources in a literature review. The team endorses a comprehensive approach incorporating messaging with cultural programs and other PD elements. It upholds transparency and two-way communication. And it describes the alignment of messages, goals and audiences that characterizes effective programs.

After reviewing 2,849 media releases to ascertain themes (security, economic policies and social justice) reflecting the Department’s most important priorities and to identify milestone events, the team went online to find the most effective influencers for specific topics and events, and even provided pitches to propose partnerships. They did the same for specific taskings by GPA like the NATO Summit and migration and refugees. Their descriptions of potential partners with large online followings makes for a fascinating read.

Article: As Mexico’s democracy shows decline, the US must pay attention to its upcoming election

On June 2, Mexicans will choose a new president, a new Congress, and thousands of state and local officials. The outcomes and the aftermath will have major implications for the United States as well as for Mexico. The U.S. must pay close attention.

The U.S. relationship with Mexico touches the daily lives of more Americans than any other country in the world. Mexico is the U.S.’s largest trade and co-production partner. It is the pathway for most irregular migration and the largest single sourc

Diplomacy Lab Presentation: How to Measure Effective Border Security: A Focus on Metrics and Recommendations for Addressing Illicit Arms and Technology Transfers

This presentation was provided to by a team of six American University seniors to describe their work and conclusions as part of a project undertaken under the Department of State's Diplomacy Lab program during the spring semester of 2024. The student team represented the School of International Service and was mentored by Professor Earl Anthony Wayne. The final written report is posted separately.

Diplomacy Lab Report: How to Measure Effective Border Security: A Focus on Metrics and Recommendations for Addressing Illicit Arms and Technology Transfers

This report was prepared as part of the Department of State's Diplomacy Lab program. It looks at ways to measure and achieve effective border security with attention to addressing illicit arms and technology transfers. The report identifies best practices from a range of countries and organizations and offers findings and recommendations. A team of seniors at American University's School of International Service prepared the report under the mentorship of Professor Earl Anthony Wayne.

Diplomacy Lab Report: Caught in the Crossfire: Identifying Data on US Firearms and Crime in the Western Hemisphere

This report was prepared as part of the State Department's Diplomacy Lab program in the Spring semester 2024. It examines the illicit and licit flows of arms to selected countries in the Western Hemisphere countries and the relationship to crime data in recepient countries. The report seeks to draw conclusions from the data and research available. It discusses significant gaps in the data currently available and makes recommendations for reducing those information gaps in order to better assess and respond to the problems flowing from these arms flows. The report was prepared by a team of students at American University's School of International Service under the mentorship of Professor Earl Anthony Wayne.

Diplomacy Lab Report: Partnerships, Policy, and Public Diplomacy: A Deep Dive into Influencer Diplomacy

This Diplomacy Lab Report explores the use of influencers as a part of Public Diplomacy efforts by the United States and others and provides recommendations of specific events and influencers for potential use by the U. S. Department of State. It was completed in the spring semester of 2024 by a team of seniors at American University's School of International Service under the mentorship of Professor Earl Anthony Wayne.

Diplomacy Lab Presentation: Lost in the Crossfire: Identifying Data on U.S. Firearms and Crime in the Western Hemisphere

This is the powerpoint presentation for a Diplomacy Lab report on the illicit and licit flows of arms from the US to select Latin American countries prepared for the Department of State in the Spring semester, 2024 by American University students under the mentorship of Professor Earl Anthony Wayne. It examines the flows of licii and illicit arms to selected Western Hemisphere countries and the challenges in understanding the magnitude and impact of those flows.

Article: Strengthening USMCA and North America's economic cooperation

The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will reach its fourth anniversary in 2024 just as Mexico elects a new president-a few months before the United States does the same. While an election in Canada could happen at any time, it is most likely to occur in 2025, still ahead of the review agreed for USMCA in 2026.

Building on its predecessor, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), USMCA has unquestionably become a foundation for North American trade and investment. USMCA has helped fuel robust trade growth following the shocks of a global pandemic and provides a powerful vehicle for further growth if used well, as recommended in this piece.

USMCA members have several big issues that they have yet to resolve under the agreement’s dispute resolution processes, and the outcomes will either reinforce or undermine USMCA’s credibility and its ability to continue to deliver for the United States, Mexico, and Canada.

For now, we only have a preliminary assessment of USMCA’s novel features, such as the digital trade chapter and the Rapid Response Labor Mechanism (RLM) after a few years of implementation, nor have the three countries really taken up the regulatory action agenda embedded in USMCA (Chapters 12 and 28).

USMCA implementation is broadly off to a good start. However, achieving the agreement´s full potential depends on three additional factors:

Gaining traction on USMCA’s cooperation chapters in areas such as Small- and Medium- Sized Enterprises, Competitiveness, Good Regulatory Practices, and Temporary Entry for Business Persons;
Developing the potential of USMCA’s Competitiveness Committee; and Leveraging other parallel bilateral and trilateral mechanisms such as the North American Leaders’ Summit (NALS), the High-Level Economic Dialogue (HLED), and the 21st Century Border Management Initiative.
This chapter analyzes these topics, provides a general assessment of the current state of play, and offers recommendations for further actions.

Canada Institute Experts Reflect on the Legacy of Brian Mulroney

On February 29, 2024, former Canadian Prime Minister Brian Mulroney passed away at the age of 84. During his tenure at the helm of Canada's government, Mulroney advanced trade and environmental policies that are still impacting the Canada-US relationship forty years on. Among the many accolades he received in his career, Mulroney was awarded a Woodrow Wilson Award for Public Service in 2003. In this collection, Canada Institute experts reflect on his extensive legacy.
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